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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
248 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-181000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
248 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to isolated thunderstorms will remain in the forecast
through tonight as a weak system moves over the state. While the
threat for organized severe weather remains low...a few strong to
severe thunderstorms could be seen. Damaging winds and large hail
will be the primary threats with the strongest thunderstorms. Some
locally heavy rainfall could also be seen.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A few thunderstorms are forecast for Saturday...but the chances
for seeing severe weather remain low. The threat for hazardous
weather will then become low for the rest of the weekend.

By early next week...a period of above normal temperatures is
expected across the state. Daily highs are expected to approach
or exceed 90 degrees in many locations...with heat index values in
the upper 90s at times. Expect conditions to cool off by the
middle of the week as rain chances return to the forecast.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
528 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181145-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
528 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
A few isolated storms are possible early this evening across North
Texas. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Thunderstorm chances will return Tuesday night and continue through
Thursday. Some strong to severe storms may occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA... Far Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.


DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few of these storms
will be capable of brief heavy rain, and marginally severe hail or
wind. However, as the sun sets the next few hours, any lingering storms
should diminish. Later, especially after midnight, areas of fog
are expected to develop across far eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. These areas of fog will likely continue through the
remainder of the overnight hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

SATURDAY...Dense Fog Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Areas of Dense fog could be ongoing Saturday morning across parts
of eastern Oklahoma and especially northwest Arkansas. Fog should
dissipate by mid morning. Above normal temperatures return for
the weekend. Both Sunday night and Monday night, the southern end
of expected thunderstorm complexes to the north of the Kansas and
Missouri borders may affect parts of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as well. A cold front Tuesday should increase
the shower and thunderstorm chances areawide. Severe weather is
looking more likely with the Tuesday storms, although details are
uncertain at this time.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
330 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-182030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
330 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited Fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and a few non-severe thunderstorms continue this
afternoon into the early evening, mostly along and south of
Interstate 44.

Areas of fog will develop late tonight into Saturday morning.
Visibilities may drop below 1 mile at times, particularly in low-
lying and sheltered areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorm chances will return to the area next week, with a
chance of severe thunderstorms Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Didio

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
129 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-181000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
129 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 /229 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

There is a chance for additional showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rain is possible. It should
be mainly dry later tonight.

Overnight, conditions will become favorable for fog development.
Dense fog may form in some areas. A Dense Fog Advisory may
required.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday, with the
best chance across west Kentucky.

The next chance of thunderstorms arrives late Monday night and
continues through much of next week.

Some of the forecast guidance shows there is a possibility of
strong to severe storms around mid week. Wednesday seems to be the
most likely day. However forecast confidence remains below
average for that far out in time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through the weekend.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
620 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-181130-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
620 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will redevelop across portions of the area
today. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and
evening carrying the threat for gusty winds and small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible on Saturday
before conditions dry out through early next week. Hot and muggy
conditions can be expected Sunday through Tuesday, with rain chances
returning by Wednesday and Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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